THE ROLE OF TIME-SERIES ANALYSIS IN FORECASTING MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS: A STATISTICAL PERSPECTIVE

Authors

  • Sharipova Bibijon Baxtiyorovna Assistant professor, Department of General Technical Sciences, Asia International University

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.55640/

Keywords:

Time-series analysis, forecasting, macroeconomic indicators, statistical interpretation, inflation, GDP, unemployment,

Abstract

This article examines the significance of time-series analysis in forecasting key macroeconomic indicators such as inflation, GDP growth, unemployment, interest rates, and exchange rate movements. The study highlights how statistical interpretation of long-term data patterns helps governments, central banks, and financial institutions make evidence-based decisions. It explores the fundamental principles of time-dependent data, the challenges of volatility, seasonality, and structural changes, and the role of statistical reasoning in improving forecast accuracy. By analyzing the evolution of time-series methodology and its practical applications, the article provides a comprehensive perspective on how statistical tools support economic planning and long-term stability.

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References

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Published

2025-12-13

Issue

Vol. 4 No. 11 (2025): Journal of Multidisciplinary Sciences and Innovations

Section

Articles

License

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Authors retain the copyright of their manuscripts, and all Open Access articles are disseminated under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0 (CC-BY), which licenses unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided that the original work is appropriately cited. The use of general descriptive names, trade names, trademarks, and so forth in this publication, even if not specifically identified, does not imply that these names are not protected by the relevant laws and regulations.

How to Cite

THE ROLE OF TIME-SERIES ANALYSIS IN FORECASTING MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS: A STATISTICAL PERSPECTIVE. (2025). Journal of Multidisciplinary Sciences and Innovations, 4(11), 1535-1540. https://doi.org/10.55640/

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