Urban Economic Growth and Tourism: Insights from Scenario Analysis
Keywords:
Urban Economic Growth, Tourism Industry, Scenario AnalysisAbstract
This study examines the dynamic relationship between urban economic growth and the tourism industry through a scenario-based analysis. It explores how various tourism scenarios, ranging from high-growth opportunities to crisis situations, influence urban economies, with a focus on employment generation, infrastructure development, and cultural preservation. The research highlights the interdependencies between tourism and urban systems, emphasizing the role of policy, investment, and stakeholder collaboration in maximizing the benefits of tourism while mitigating potential challenges. By analyzing case studies and employing economic modeling, the study provides actionable insights for urban planners, policymakers, and industry stakeholders to foster sustainable urban economic growth driven by tourism.
References
Tisdel, C. A. (2013). Handbook of Tourism Economics -Analysis, New Applications and Case Studies, World Scientific pub.
Butcher, G., Fairweather, J. R. & Simmons, D. G (2003). “The economic impact of tourism on christchurchcity and akaroa town ship”.
Sequeira, T. V., & Nunes, P. M. (2008). Does tourism influence economic growth? Adynamic panel data approach. Applied Economics, 40(18), 2431–2441.
Ghartey, E. (2013). Effects of tourism, economic growth, real exchange rate, structural changes and hurricanes in Jamaica. Tourism Economics, 19(4), 919–942.
Cannonier, C., & Galloway Burke, M. (2019). The economic growth impact of tourism in small Island developing states—Evidence from the Caribbean. Tourism Economics, 25(1), 85–108.
Scarlett, H. G. (2021), Tourism recovery and the economic impact: A panel assessment, Research Globalization (3).
Heshmati, A., & Rashidghalam, M. (2021), Assessment of the urban circular economyin Sweden, Journal of Cleaner Production (310),
Romao, J., & Bi, Y. (2021). Determinants of collective transport mode choice and its impacts on trip satisfaction in urban tourism, Journal of Transport Geography 94,
Kronenberg, K., & Fuchs, M. (2021). Aligning tourism's socio-economic impact with the United Nations' sustainable development goals, Tourism Management Perspectives 39,
Kyara,V., Rahman,M.M., & Rasheda, K. (2021). Tourism expansion and economic growth in Tanzania: A causality analysis, Heliyon 7.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2022 Garshasp Bahrami

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Authors retain the copyright of their manuscripts, and all Open Access articles are disseminated under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0 (CC-BY), which licenses unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided that the original work is appropriately cited. The use of general descriptive names, trade names, trademarks, and so forth in this publication, even if not specifically identified, does not imply that these names are not protected by the relevant laws and regulations.