GLOBALIZATION AND THE DYNAMICS OF ECONOMIC CYCLES
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.55640/Keywords:
globalization, economic cycles, financial integration, synchronization, macroeconomic policyAbstract
This study examines the dynamics of economic cycles under globalization, focusing on how international trade, financial integration, and capital mobility influence cyclical fluctuations. The research employs a theoretical-analytical approach supported by modern macroeconomic models, including open-economy frameworks and stochastic cycle representations. The findings indicate that globalization intensifies synchronization of business cycles across countries, accelerates crisis transmission, and increases the volatility of developing economies. At the same time, it creates opportunities for growth through technological diffusion and capital inflows.
References
1.Aghion, P., & Howitt, P. (2009). The economics of growth. MIT Press.
2.Blanchard, O. (2017). Macroeconomics (7th ed.). Pearson.
3.Frankel, J. A., & Rose, A. K. (1998). The endogeneity of the optimum currency area criteria. The Economic Journal, 108(449), 1009–1025.
4.International Monetary Fund. (2023). World Economic Outlook: Navigating global divergence. IMF Publications.
5.Kose, M. A., Otrok, C., & Prasad, E. (2012). Global business cycles: Convergence or decoupling? International Economic Review, 53(2), 511–538.
6.Obstfeld, M., & Rogoff, K. (1996). Foundations of international macroeconomics. MIT Press.
7.Rey, H. (2015). Dilemma not trilemma: The global financial cycle and monetary policy independence. NBER Working Paper No. 21162.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Authors retain the copyright of their manuscripts, and all Open Access articles are disseminated under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0 (CC-BY), which licenses unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided that the original work is appropriately cited. The use of general descriptive names, trade names, trademarks, and so forth in this publication, even if not specifically identified, does not imply that these names are not protected by the relevant laws and regulations.

